Championship

Football · Leagues & Sims · Projected Standings

Championship

This week’s fixtures with a model prediction on each, the table as it stands, Monte Carlo projections for where the season finishes, and the clubs and players carrying it. Covers the domestic leagues and the UEFA cups. Ratings come from Panna, an open-source RAPM+SPM blend that nets xG created against xG conceded on one scale.

Championship 2026-27 projected final table from 10,000 simulated seasons

#	Team	Pts now	Projected pts	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Southampton	28	57	38.6%	88.7%	0.0%
2	Middlesbrough	28	56	34.5%	88.5%	0.0%
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers	24	53	10.6%	65.5%	0.0%
4	West Ham United	22	52	11.4%	65.9%	0.0%
5	Birmingham City	26	48	2.1%	30.7%	0.0%
6	West Bromwich Albion	25	48	1.3%	22.1%	0.0%
7	Swansea City	26	46	0.8%	15.6%	0.0%
8	Stoke City	26	46	0.5%	13.6%	0.0%
9	Queens Park Rangers	21	41	0.1%	2.9%	0.1%
10	Norwich City	18	41	0.1%	2.5%	0.3%
11	Sheffield United	22	41	0.0%	2.1%	0.3%
12	Portsmouth	22	39	0.0%	1.0%	0.5%
13	Millwall	18	37	0.0%	0.4%	2.2%
14	Blackburn Rovers	18	36	0.0%	0.3%	3.0%
15	Bristol City	18	35	0.0%	0.1%	4.5%
16	Wrexham	14	35	0.0%	0.1%	5.0%
17	Burnley	10	33	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%
18	Bolton Wanderers	17	32	0.0%	0.0%	15.5%
19	Lincoln City	15	32	0.0%	0.0%	16.2%
20	Watford	14	32	0.0%	0.0%	18.5%
21	Cardiff City	14	30	0.0%	0.0%	23.5%
22	Charlton Athletic	14	30	0.0%	0.0%	31.7%
23	Derby County	7	25	0.0%	0.0%	71.0%
24	Preston North End	5	19	0.0%	0.0%	96.4%

Season predictors: Premier League · La Liga · Bundesliga · Serie A · Ligue 1 · Eredivisie · Primeira Liga · Scottish Premiership · Süper Lig · Championship