Ligue 1

Football · Leagues & Sims · Projected Standings

Ligue 1

This week’s fixtures with a model prediction on each, the table as it stands, Monte Carlo projections for where the season finishes, and the clubs and players carrying it. Covers the domestic leagues and the UEFA cups. Ratings come from Panna, an open-source RAPM+SPM blend that nets xG created against xG conceded on one scale.

Ligue 1 2026-27 projected final table from 10,000 simulated seasons

#	Team	Pts now	Projected pts	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Paris Saint-Germain	20	77	96.2%	99.9%	0.0%
2	Olympique Lyonnais	17	58	1.0%	57.3%	0.0%
3	Monaco	15	58	0.8%	52.3%	0.0%
4	Paris FC	17	57	0.7%	49.7%	0.0%
5	Lille	18	56	0.5%	43.1%	0.0%
6	Rennes	16	54	0.3%	29.5%	0.0%
7	Lens	13	54	0.3%	30.5%	0.0%
8	Olympique Marseille	15	53	0.1%	23.9%	0.0%
9	Nice	14	48	0.0%	6.3%	0.5%
10	Brest	12	46	0.0%	3.2%	1.1%
11	Strasbourg	10	45	0.0%	2.5%	1.6%
12	Toulouse	10	44	0.0%	1.7%	2.3%
13	Lorient	12	39	0.0%	0.2%	10.8%
14	Auxerre	10	36	0.0%	0.1%	25.2%
15	Angers SCO	8	30	0.0%	0.0%	59.8%
16	Le Havre	2	30	0.0%	0.0%	59.9%
17	Le Mans	7	30	0.0%	0.0%	63.5%
18	Troyes	8	28	0.0%	0.0%	75.3%

Season predictors: Premier League · La Liga · Bundesliga · Serie A · Ligue 1 · Eredivisie · Primeira Liga · Scottish Premiership · Süper Lig · Championship