Premier League

Football · Leagues & Sims · Projected Standings

Premier League

This week’s fixtures with a model prediction on each, the table as it stands, Monte Carlo projections for where the season finishes, and the clubs and players carrying it. Covers the domestic leagues and the UEFA cups. Ratings come from Panna, an open-source RAPM+SPM blend that nets xG created against xG conceded on one scale.

Premier League 2026-27 projected final table from 10,000 simulated seasons

#	Team	Pts now	Projected pts	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Arsenal	24	83	75.1%	99.8%	0.0%
2	Manchester City	21	76	19.9%	96.4%	0.0%
3	Liverpool	15	68	3.0%	76.9%	0.0%
4	Brighton & Hove Albion	19	66	1.9%	70.5%	0.0%
5	Aston Villa	12	56	0.0%	11.6%	0.4%
6	Chelsea	16	56	0.0%	10.8%	0.4%
7	Brentford	14	55	0.0%	10.2%	0.3%
8	AFC Bournemouth	12	55	0.0%	9.4%	0.5%
9	Tottenham Hotspur	12	53	0.0%	6.0%	0.9%
10	Manchester United	7	52	0.0%	3.9%	1.6%
11	Everton	13	49	0.0%	1.5%	3.9%
12	Leeds United	11	48	0.0%	1.5%	4.7%
13	Newcastle United	11	47	0.0%	0.9%	6.1%
14	Nottingham Forest	6	45	0.0%	0.4%	10.7%
15	Fulham	9	44	0.0%	0.3%	13.4%
16	Crystal Palace	7	41	0.0%	0.1%	31.4%
17	Ipswich Town	11	39	0.0%	0.0%	40.8%
18	Sunderland	5	38	0.0%	0.0%	44.0%
19	Coventry City	9	37	0.0%	0.0%	52.6%
20	Hull City	11	31	0.0%	0.0%	88.3%

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