Serie A

Football · Leagues & Sims · Projected Standings

Serie A

This week’s fixtures with a model prediction on each, the table as it stands, Monte Carlo projections for where the season finishes, and the clubs and players carrying it. Covers the domestic leagues and the UEFA cups. Ratings come from Panna, an open-source RAPM+SPM blend that nets xG created against xG conceded on one scale.

Serie A 2026-27 projected final table from 10,000 simulated seasons

#	Team	Pts now	Projected pts	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Internazionale	25	84	64.2%	97.0%	0.0%
2	Roma	24	76	13.8%	77.6%	0.0%
3	Como	23	75	10.3%	71.8%	0.0%
4	Lazio	28	72	5.2%	55.0%	0.0%
5	Milan	21	71	4.1%	48.6%	0.0%
6	Juventus	17	69	2.0%	35.1%	0.0%
7	Napoli	14	64	0.4%	13.6%	0.0%
8	Frosinone	20	54	0.0%	0.7%	0.1%
9	Atalanta	11	53	0.0%	0.3%	0.3%
10	Bologna	14	52	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%
11	Torino	13	47	0.0%	0.0%	1.6%
12	Fiorentina	8	45	0.0%	0.0%	4.0%
13	Genoa	13	44	0.0%	0.0%	3.9%
14	Cagliari	13	44	0.0%	0.0%	4.6%
15	Sassuolo	8	39	0.0%	0.0%	18.2%
16	Parma	8	36	0.0%	0.0%	33.4%
17	Udinese	5	35	0.0%	0.0%	39.3%
18	Lecce	9	33	0.0%	0.0%	50.5%
19	Monza	7	32	0.0%	0.0%	62.0%
20	Venezia	3	28	0.0%	0.0%	82.1%

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