Süper Lig

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Süper Lig

This week’s fixtures with a model prediction on each, the table as it stands, Monte Carlo projections for where the season finishes, and the clubs and players carrying it. Covers the domestic leagues and the UEFA cups. Ratings come from Panna, an open-source RAPM+SPM blend that nets xG created against xG conceded on one scale.

Süper Lig 2026-27 projected final table from 10,000 simulated seasons

#	Team	Pts now	Projected pts	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Galatasaray	25	44	71.7%	99.4%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor	22	40	16.5%	90.7%	0.0%
3	Beşiktaş	19	38	7.5%	85.2%	0.0%
4	Amed	23	36	3.7%	64.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahçe	16	34	0.5%	43.9%	0.0%
6	Kasımpaşa	17	28	0.0%	4.9%	0.1%
7	İstanbul Başakşehir	14	28	0.0%	3.5%	0.3%
8	Çorum	16	27	0.0%	3.0%	0.3%
9	Göztepe	15	27	0.0%	3.3%	0.4%
10	Kocaelispor	16	25	0.0%	1.1%	0.7%
11	Rizespor	11	23	0.0%	0.2%	4.9%
12	Erzurumspor FK	14	22	0.0%	0.1%	4.5%
13	Alanyaspor	12	21	0.0%	0.1%	14.9%
14	Gençlerbirliği	11	21	0.0%	0.0%	17.5%
15	Konyaspor	8	19	0.0%	0.0%	29.4%
16	Gaziantep FK	8	18	0.0%	0.0%	46.7%
17	Samsunspor	4	13	0.0%	0.0%	85.3%
18	Eyüpspor	3	11	0.0%	0.0%	95.1%

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